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It looks 'increasingly likely' that Mr Putin put Wagner forces in Belarus so they were out of Ukraine and Russia while he figured out 'who his friends were, who his enemies were and what on earth he was going to do with Yevgeny Progozhin', said Bell.Īs for Prigozhin, Mr Putin has 'eroded the power base' of the mercenary chief by fragmenting his forces between Belarus, Russia and Africa. 'There's a grave risk of miscalculation when these things occur,' Bell said. Since Mr Lukashenko brokered the deal between Wagner leader Yevgeny Progozhin and Vladimir Putin which ended the former's aborted coup, he feels 'he's got something on Putin'.

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'What is alarming about this is the Belarusian president is full of alarming rhetoric but it has significant implications at a time of high tensions,' said Bell.

This has enhanced the West's concern about the 'grave risk' of escalating the war, leading Poland to move up to 10,000 extra troops to the border with Belarus. The president of Belarus has become 'emboldened' by the presence of the Wagner Group, according to a military expert.Īlexander Lukashenko has been 'provoking' Poland by telling them 'he's holding them back from attacking Polish soil', said Sean Bell. The book, part of a set of four that also cover the fall of the USSR and Mr Putin's time in power, is due to enter schools next month. 'Gradually, the United States and NATO started to prepare Ukraine for the role of the main battering ram against Russia,' it says. It describes Ukrainian attempts to ban Russian books, music, films and Russian language teaching. The answer, the book says, is a struggle for control of Ukraine between Russia and the West which fanned 'Ukrainian neo-Nazism' in an attempt to undermine Russia. The book, co-written by aide Vladimir Medinsky and Anatoly Torkunov, rector of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, asks students to answer the question: 'What reasons forced Russia to start the Special Military Operation?' 'The aim was not even hidden: to dismember Russia and to get control over its resources.' 'The West became fixated with destabilising the situation inside Russia,' the book, a copy of which the Reuters news agency has reviewed, says.

It reflects on Mr Putin's disillusionment with the West after he offered Russia's support to the US during the 9/11 attacks in a gesture of post-Cold War friendship. The final chapter of the 447-page History of Russia 1945 - the start of 21st Century is titled 'Russia Today - The Special Military Operation'. A Kremlin aide has written a history textbook for 16-18 year olds that gives Vladimir Putin’s interpretation of the causes of the Ukraine war.